NFL: The Most Overrated Draft Prospect

The NFL Draft’s 2019 wide receiver class is deep. From AJ Brown to Andy Isabella, this draft class contains a lot of talent, especially in Day 2 of the draft. Players like N’Keal Harry and Deebo Samuel all have high potential to become stars at the next level but there’s one receiver in this class that is extremely puzzling.

DK Metcalf was a standout wide receiver at Ole Miss and is widely considered to be the best at his position in this draft but it’s not that simple. Everyone is falling in love with the measurements but there are some obvious flaws with Metcalf.

Combine Numbers

Metcalf measured in at 6’3″ and 228 lbs at the NFL Combine. He ran a 4.33 second 40 yard dash which is unprecedented for someone as big as he is. He had 27 reps on the bench and recorded a 40.5 inch vertical jump.

These numbers are impressive and they definitely caught the eye of the draft community but the film on Metcalf tells a different story.

The Film

Watching Metcalf on film, it’s clear he’s not a finished product. That doesn’t mean he can’t succeed but it’s important to note that he still does have a lot to learn. His college teammate, AJ Brown is a more complete receiver than he is but Metcalf has more upside.

Metcalf has a large frame but he doesn’t use it to his advantage as often as he could. He definitely has the tools to put it all together. He’s tall, big and quick and that combination is something that teams love and don’t find often but Metcalf needs to be polished and still has a lot of untapped potential.

Metcalf is a downhill runner that runs his routes with a whole lot of power but he needs to learn to use his frame.

Risk versus Reward

He’s overrated in the sense that the community is acting like that potential is 100% going to be reached. It largely relies on where he ends up. Coaching can make a big difference with players like him. He needs to be coached into his role and that’s not always a sure thing.

When a team is drafting for ceiling, it’s a little different. It has to be taken into account what Metcalf’s floor is. His floor is low but his ceiling is high.

Metcalf is quite obviously a risk versus reward pick. The risk in taking him is high but the reward if he reaches his potential is also very high. Teams that want a player that’s closer to a sure thing would be better off taking aforementioned Rebel teammate AJ Brown or Sooner wide receiver Marquise Brown.

However, Metcalf will likely go Day 1 because of his traits and the possibility that the team that drafts him can hit a home run.

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